A common refrain in Malaysia in 2026 is that everyday life feels more expensive — even as official figures suggest inflation is relatively tame. Both things can be true at once, and the data helps explain why.

Headline inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index, rose 2.0% year-on-year in May 2026, up slightly from 1.9% the previous month and the highest reading in nearly two years. Core inflation, which strips out volatile fuel prices, also stood at 2.0%. By international standards, these are moderate numbers. So why the disconnect with how people feel?

The answer lies beneath the headline, in the specific categories where prices are rising faster than the average. Transport costs were up 3.8% year-on-year, with public transport services climbing more sharply. Insurance and financial services rose about 4.9%, one of the standout drivers. Restaurants and accommodation — the cost of eating out — rose around 2.5%. Food and beverages, which carry the single largest weight in the index at nearly 30%, rose more modestly.

The pattern matters because households do not experience the average; they experience their own spending. A family that eats out regularly, pays for insurance, or relies on services in categories rising above the headline rate will feel costs climbing even when the overall index looks contained. Discretionary and service-heavy spending has generally risen faster than basic goods.

Government measures have aimed to cushion the basics. The BUDI95 fuel subsidy holds RON95 petrol at RM1.99 a litre for eligible citizens, and cash-aid programmes under Budget 2026 channel billions of ringgit to lower-income households. At the same time, the expanded Sales and Service Tax added costs to selected services from mid-2025.

The takeaway is nuanced: Malaysia's overall inflation is moderate, but the squeeze is real in particular categories. That gap between the data and daily experience is itself a defining economic story heading into the 2026 Johor election.